NAILIN’ PALIN ON WHY THE GOP LOST IN 2012


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To quote one of my favorite Living singers Lykke Li, “Once again it’s happening . . .” The “it” that’s happening is a revisionist historical attempt to blame “grass roots conservative voters” for failing to turnout to elect Mitt Romney President of the United States. Sarah Palin, writing exclusively for Breitbart, says, “In 2010, a galvanized grassroots rallied against Obamacare to carry Republicans to victory. But in 2012, many in the grassroots stayed home, and we saw how that turned out for the GOP.” Now there is a nugget of truth in that the far right conservatives found a hook to hang their hats on when ObamaCare was passed. This hook was used to win back the House in 2010 in a watershed event that gave the dying GOP hope. That hope now has turned to horror for now the establishment GOP can no longer control the TEA Party that saved it from swirling down the toilet bowl in national election obscurity. I’ve said it before and I’m going to say it again. James Carville was absolutely right when he said the GOP will not win another presidential election in 40 years and they will, by 2020 lose control of the Congress for two full generations if Barack Obama is elected President.

My loyal readers know that I’m a stats guy. Palin simply lies and blames the very same people who thought she was up to the job of being a heartbeat away from the presidency when she makes such statements. In 2012 nearly 1,000,000 voters cast a ballot for Mitt Romney than voted for John McCain in 2008. The assumption that Palin’s far right supporters want America to believe is that the silent majority is still out there and that they sat on their hands in 2012 because of a wide variety of reasons to dislike Romney. In the real world where the numbers bear out the truth, Romney did better than McCain and Obama was the victim garnering nearly four million more votes in 2008 than in 2012. It would be disingenuous of me not to point out that the 2008 election was a monumental and historic event in American politics as Barack Obama was the first person of color to represent either of the two major parties in a Presidential election.

We can look too at Palin’s feeling that the TEA Party Caucus are flushing dogs that will secure a groundswell of support from that silent majority that doesn’t exist in 2014. The midterm elections of 2002 saw an percentage turnout of 40.5% of eligible voters. That number increased to 41.3% in 2006 and rose in 2010 to 41.7% in 2010. So where is Palin’s proof that the grass roots is either a) a huge majority of voters, or, b) that the conservatives didn’t turn out in 2012?

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In Hindsight
Well simply put it doesn’t exist. But to conservative cash machines like Sarah Palin facts are simply stupid things. Facts are inconvenient for people like Palin who will never admit why they are losing elections. I don’t think Democrats will win back the House in 2014 simply because of how low in general voter turnout is in midterm elections. You can see the difference in the 2008 and 2012 presidential election percentages clearly. What Governor Palin fails to realize is the simple truth that every school kid in Hell can grasp. Conservatives have an aging monochromatic intellectually and historically challenged base; Progressives have a young, spectrally diverse and well educated base which is growing at an even faster rate than conservative voters are dying. What is happening here is a major moment in the political history of the United States the death of the GOP as a national party and the rise of a religion based ultra conservative party that will ultimately open the door for one party rule by Progressives well into the middle of the 21st Century.

Pax Terra!

Fredrick Schwartz, D.S.V.J., CS, O.Q.H [Journ.]
Managing Editor—Research
The Dis Brimstone-Daily Pitchfork
133 Colnu 2 AS

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