Jeb Bush, the former Governor of Florida is likely the only candidate that could win in 2016 for the GOP no matter who is running against him. Bush has embraced a need for amnesty for undocumented immigrants as well as the Common Core educational model. Both of these issues are hot button topics for the conservative base which has migrated toward a rigid more orthodox form of political ideology since the election of 2008.’s Tony Lee today writes a piece about Bush and his ties to a company, Tenet HealthCare. Tenet was an early and vocal supporter of ObamaCare and Lee quotes a New York Times article written by Michael Barbaro, which paints a picture of the difficulty that Bush would have with the base if he were to run for the nomination:

“And in a stint that could complicate his appeal to conservatives, Mr. Bush serves as a paid director to Tenet Health Care, the giant hospital owner, which supported President Obama’s Affordable Care Act, aggressively encouraged Americans to sign up for insurance under the program and trumpeted the legislation as a boon to the company’s finances.”

It is doctrine among the conservative base that anything Obama promotes must be fought against tooth and nail. Any Obama policy accepted by a member of the Establishment GOP must be viewed as treason to the conservative cause. This level of de facto ideological purity is what caused hundreds of thousands of conservative voters to turn their backs on both John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012. This will set up a very vocal and heated showdown during the primaries in 2016 with moderates among the establishment doing all they can to convince donors that their guy can win despite alienating the base. Equally, the TEA Party and its Koch powered advertising machine will do all it can to carpet bomb the establishment opposition painting them as “RINOs”.

hindsight 2256
In Hindsight

The fallout of this is, in my opinion a perfect storm for the final showdown between the TEA Party and the Establishment GOP. The 2016 GOP Convention might finally prove my prediction in 2008 and 2012 true; that the party will self destruct on live television. I’d like to go on record and implore the major networks to cover every minute of both nominating conventions which should be historical to say the least. The Democrats will elevate Hillary Clinton as their candidate making her the first female at the top of a major party ticket. The GOP will find itself struggling to keep its house in order. History has an odd way of repeating itself; from the ashes of the 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago came the victory for Nixon that he so craved and a long time in the wilderness for the Democratic Party as it relates to the Executive Branch. Out of the 2016 GOP Convention their could be the final nail driven in the coffin of a party that can claim Reagan and Lincoln both of whom would not recognize what their Grand Old Party has become in the 21st Century.

Pax Terra!

Fredrick Schwartz, D.S.V.J., CS, O.Q.H [Journ.]
Managing Editor—Research
The Dis Brimstone-Daily Pitchfork
183 1 Leviathan 3 AS

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