I’m unfortunately not for hire to the GOP to do their dirty work, but if the folks who work for Reince Priebus at the RNC have any sense they will spend some of their millions on finding the nugget of embarrassment on Sarah Palin or anyone else who wants to take 35% of the GOP with it to the Christian Freedom Party or the TEA Party or whatever homespun, folksy moniker they decide to call the plague they will inject into the major political representative party on the Right. Political parties don’t fall from favor in an instant. It is a slow process and can be precipitated in any number of ways.

What is happening to the GOP is a curious combination of demographic shrinkage and negative messaging. This is detailed by Ana Marie Cox in her most recent article for the UK Guardian. The poll taken by Rupe-Reason of 2,000 millennials shows a significant shift toward Progressive political tendencies that in a potential voting bloc of 80 million could sink the conservatives albeit slowly. I’ve written before about Texas turning blue by 2024 and this is because of the singular thing that millennials can agree on–they hate drama.

The eyeopener from the report:

The Reason-Rupe report finds this skepticism of government has millennials favoring general reductions to government spending and regulations:

73 percent of millennials favor allowing private accounts for Social Security; 51 percent favor private accounts even it means cutting Social Security benefits for current and future retirees because 53 percent of millennials say Social Security is unlikely to exist when they retire
64 percent of millennials say cutting government spending by 5 percent would help the economy
59 percent say cutting taxes would help the economy
57 percent prefer a smaller government providing fewer services with low taxes, while 41 percent prefer a larger government providing more services with high taxes
57 percent want a society where wealth is distributed according to achievement
55 percent say reducing regulations would help the economy
53 percent say reducing the size of government would help the economy
74 percent of millennials say government has a responsibility to guarantee every citizen has a place to sleep and enough to eat
However, millennials also support more government action and higher spending in a number of key areas:

71 percent favor raising the federal minimum wage to $10.10 an hour
69 percent say it is government’s responsibility to guarantee everyone access to health care and 51 percent have a favorable view of the Affordable Care Act
68 percent say government should ensure everyone makes a living wage
66 percent say raising taxes on the wealthy would help the economy
63 percent say spending more on job training would help the economy
58 percent say the government should spend more on assistance to the poor even it means higher taxes
57 percent favor spending more money on infrastructure
54 percent favor a larger government that provides more services, when taxes are not mentioned
54 percent want government to guarantee everyone a college education

And the message that should be clear to the GOP in the shadow of the 2014 midterm elections and two years before the 2016 presidential:

Of those registered to vote, 76 percent of millennials say they plan to vote in the 2014 midterm elections. Fifty-three percent of registered millennials tell Reason-Rupe they plan to vote for the Democratic congressional candidate in their district this November, while 29 percent intend to vote for the Republican. For Democrats that’s a sharp decline from the 64 percent of millennials who say they voted for President Barack Obama in 2012.

Things look better for Democrats in 2016, however. When asked to select their top choice for president in 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was the top choice of 39 percent of registered millennial voters, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (8 percent), Vice President Joe Biden (6 percent) and the top Republican, Rep. Paul Ryan (6 percent). Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Sen. Rand Paul were each the top choice of 5 percent of registered millennial voters.

A majority of millennials, 52 percent, identify themselves as independents when first asked. Just 16 percent self-identify as Republicans, while 32 percent say they’re Democrats. Including those leaning towards a party, 43 percent of millennials identify as Democrats, 35 percent as independents, and only 23 percent classify themselves as Republicans.

Millennials don’t identify with the political parties and don’t have much confidence in them. When asked who they trust most to handle a series of policy issues, young Americans say they trust “neither” party to handle 12 of 15 issues surveyed. Millennials do trust Democrats the most on gay marriage, the environment, and poverty, while only trusting Republicans the most on promoting entrepreneurship.

That last paragraph should make the leadership of the Establishment GOP run screaming from their country clubs and to the nearest television studio to denounce Palin and Akin every chance they get.

hindsight 2271

In Hindsight
The GOP would be well served to do all it can to counter the attacks coming from their right flank and try to come to the center. There’s very little they can do to fight the demographic shift as the base of the GOP is dying by the day. As Cox points out in her article the best thing for the GOP to do is try to find a way to mute the faux outrage pouring forth from the mouths of people like Sarah Palin and pray, yes pray, they can find a moderate centrist candidate before the eulogy for the Grand Old Party is written.

Pax Terra!

Fredrick Schwartz, D.S.V.J., CS, O.Q.H [Journ.]
Managing Editor—Research
The Dis Brimstone-Daily Pitchfork
20 Ashtaq 3 AS


  1. What a phenomenal ass. Thanks for the visual. 🙂

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