THE SUNDAY BIG QUESTION: WHO WILL WIN THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN 2016


fredschwartz1

I wish I could keep you in suspense with 5,000 or more words this morning about demographics or contested conventions. But I can’t. After rooting around on Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight site and poring over the comments sections of numerous Progressive and Conservative blogs I have come to a clear answer on today’s big question five months before the election. Hillary Rodham Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States.

This will be due not to some October surprise but simply based on both a brutal and sickening campaign season of some very unpresidential nastiness and the demographic tide turning against conservatives and this new name for white political anger–Trumpism. Trump’s supports by the best metrics I have here make up a potential 39.5 million voters in the United States of America. Conversely, Hillary Clinton has a maximum demographic pool of slightly over 80 million voters, many of those concentrated in states that you have to win in 2016 to win the election. Florida and Ohio, generally battleground states in any election will this year not be. Texas for the first time since 1976 has a slim chance of turning blue. By 2024, Texas will be firmly blue from the state legislature up to the majority of congressional districts post the 2020 Census according to TED-OG. That shift, coupled with the continuing decline in the white voter base over the age of 55 in the South will mandate a shift in the GOP that was called for in the autopsy of the 2012 election by the RNC.

There has been a simple solution available to the GOP for a decade now; shift away from bigotry and social issues into an engine of inclusive job creation based on fixing the $2 trillion worth of infrastructure refitting that needs to be done over the coming two decades. That tack rather than trying to use fear and loathing among ageing white under-educated Americans would have brought in Latinos, blacks and women to the party. Sure Trump’s base loves to hear him calling out the “liberal press”, posturing on building a wall to keep out immigrants from Mexico and Central America, and appealing to white men by being macho in the face of threats like Megyn Kelly, but in the long run this sort of political path doesn’t gain him any new voters among groups where GOP candidates have failed over the last several elections.

The Democrats are not without their political sins in this age when they can claim the White House for the longest run in the last forty years. Minority poverty, gender pay equality, a lasting immigration policy that strengthens America, both economically and from a security standpoint, and the fact that America’s infrastructure is crumbling are all issues that Progressives over the next decade must address with a carrot and stick approach. These are the things that a Clinton Administration from 2017 until 2025 must focus on to assure that when we have this discussion again in eight years I will feel as equally confident that Cory Booker will win the White House. But for right now, as the pots simmer and the conventions loom close on the horizon I can confidently say that on a cold January morning next year we will be referring to the United States Commander-in-Chief as Madam president for the first time in American history.

Pax Terra!

Fredrick Schwartz, D.S.V.J., CS, O.Q.H [Journ.]
Managing Editor—Research
The Dis Brimstone-Daily Pitchfork
147 High Lux Negro 3 AS

14 Responses to “THE SUNDAY BIG QUESTION: WHO WILL WIN THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN 2016”

  1. neocon01 Says:

    the FIX is in, “lost votes” found, dead, illegal, felons, will all “vote” for hilzebub

    • Fredrick Schwartz, D.S.V.J., O.Q.H. [Journ.] Says:

      Trump will need 70 million votes to win. Do you think there are 70 million Trump voters in the US?

      • neocon01 Says:

        Hillary’s uncontrollable cough is back
        By Thomas Lifson
        Hillary Clinton, who suffered a brain injury so severe that it affected her vision for weeks, is also suffering from a secret malady that causes fits of coughing in public. If nothing else, this constitutes a readymade face-saving excuse for her to drop out (or be pushed out) of her sinking ship presidential campaign. And equally or perhaps more so, a terrific excuse for President Obama to pardon her for any and all crimes associated with her flagrant flaunting of national security laws and associated regulations with her hme brew email system that likely resulted in the exposure of covert intelligence agents – a crime that was taken so seriously it required a special prosecutor, even when the agent in question was a desk jockey in Langley (but the president was Republican).

        Does this look like a healthy woman? Kyle Olson of The American Mirror highlights an event in Sylmar, CA where she was unable to stop coughing even while someone else was speaking:

        http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2016/06/hillarys_uncontrollable_cough_is_back.html

      • Fredrick Schwartz, D.S.V.J., O.Q.H. [Journ.] Says:

        More conspiracy theories! Winning! How’d that Birther thing work out for you?

      • neocon01 Says:

        it is not how it “worked out” it is a matter of if it is the truth.

        Maybe in a few years Ill ask you jews how the islam thing worked out for you with the same smarmyness you posess…and if you still worship the obola devil that brought it here.

      • Fredrick Schwartz, D.S.V.J., O.Q.H. [Journ.] Says:

        And despite the fact that you want something terrible to happen it won’t.

      • neocon01 Says:

        terrible? not for the country, a blessing would be more like it..she could join your cabal of leftists, homos, haters and maybe even post here.

  2. neocon01 Says:

    koff koff hack …….

    June 5, 2016
    Sanders: ‘The Democratic National Convention will be a contested convention’

    http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2016/06/sanders_the_democratic_national_convention_will_be_a_contested_convention.html

  3. neocon01 Says:

    what a fucking retard..

  4. neocon01 Says:

    rut ro……..

    SECRET SERVICE BOOK ROCKS CLINTON CAMPAIGN

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